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Pokémon TCG · SSP

Surging Sparks pull rates & booster box value

How often each rarity shows up in a Surging Sparks booster pack, measured from 8,000+ packs opened by the TCGplayer Authentication Center, and what that's worth at today's market prices: about $1.86 in hits per pack.

Cards
252
Set value
$1,073.80
Top card
$251.03
Released
November 8, 2024
Hits value per pack
$1.86
Hits value per booster box
$66.96
Box costs $298.57
Box value vs. price
22%
Chance of an SIR per box
34%

Surging Sparks pull rates by rarity

RarityOdds per packCardsAvg. priceValue per packAt least 1 per boxTop card
Double Rare1 in 6(16.94%)18$1.27$0.22100%Latias ex · $6.64
Ultra Rare1 in 15(6.74%)21$3.13$0.2192%Pikachu ex · $23.88
ACE SPEC Rare1 in 20(5.03%)8$1.11$0.0684%Enriching Energy · $3.42
Illustration Rare1 in 13(7.67%)23$7.55$0.5894%Latios · $29.70
Special Illustration Rare1 in 87(1.15%)11$61.55$0.7134%Pikachu ex · $251.03
Hyper Rare1 in 189(0.53%)6$17.21$0.0917%Pikachu ex · $67.51

Pull rates from 8,000+ packs; value = odds × the average TCGplayer market price of that rarity's cards, updated daily. Commons, uncommons, rares and reverse holos are left out, and a real box can land far from the average. TCGplayer pull-rate study

Is opening worth it?

Expected hits value of each sealed product's packs next to its market price. Over 100% means the hits are worth more than the box on average; accessories and promos aren't counted.

Compare booster box value across every set →

Questions

What are the Surging Sparks pull rates?
Per booster pack: Double Rare 1 in 6, Ultra Rare 1 in 15, ACE SPEC Rare 1 in 20, Illustration Rare 1 in 13, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 87, Hyper Rare 1 in 189. These come from more than 8,000 Surging Sparks packs opened by the TCGplayer Authentication Center.
Is a Surging Sparks booster box worth opening?
On average, no: the hits in a Surging Sparks booster box are worth about $66.96 at today's prices, less than the box's $298.57 (22%). Buying the singles you want is usually cheaper than opening for them.
How many Special Illustration Rares are in a booster box?
About 1 in 87 packs has a Special Illustration Rare, so a 36-pack box has roughly a 34% chance of at least one.