RareTracker logoRareTracker

Some links on this page are affiliate links — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.

Pokémon TCG · SVI

Scarlet & Violet Base Set pull rates & booster box value

How often each rarity shows up in a Scarlet & Violet Base Set booster pack, measured from 8,000+ packs opened by the TCGplayer Authentication Center, and what that's worth at today's market prices: about $2.16 in hits per pack.

Cards
258
Set value
$679.73
Top card
$68.02
Released
March 31, 2023
Hits value per pack
$2.16
Hits value per booster box
$77.87
Box costs $297.31
Box value vs. price
26%
Chance of an SIR per box
68%

Scarlet & Violet Base Set pull rates by rarity

RarityOdds per packCardsAvg. priceValue per packAt least 1 per boxTop card
Double Rare1 in 7(13.76%)12$0.82$0.11100%Gyarados ex · $1.93
Ultra Rare1 in 15(6.57%)20$3.08$0.2091%Arcanine ex · $14.06
Illustration Rare1 in 13(7.67%)24$16.32$1.2594%Drowzee · $47.72
Special Illustration Rare1 in 32(3.15%)10$16.04$0.5168%Gardevoir ex · $68.02
Hyper Rare1 in 54(1.85%)6$4.94$0.0949%Miraidon ex · $7.23

Pull rates from 8,000+ packs; value = odds × the average TCGplayer market price of that rarity's cards, updated daily. Commons, uncommons, rares and reverse holos are left out, and a real box can land far from the average. TCGplayer pull-rate study

Is opening worth it?

Expected hits value of each sealed product's packs next to its market price. Over 100% means the hits are worth more than the box on average; accessories and promos aren't counted.

Compare booster box value across every set →

Questions

What are the Scarlet & Violet Base Set pull rates?
Per booster pack: Double Rare 1 in 7, Ultra Rare 1 in 15, Illustration Rare 1 in 13, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 32, Hyper Rare 1 in 54. These come from more than 8,000 Scarlet & Violet Base Set packs opened by the TCGplayer Authentication Center.
Is a Scarlet & Violet Base Set booster box worth opening?
On average, no: the hits in a Scarlet & Violet Base Set booster box are worth about $77.87 at today's prices, less than the box's $297.31 (26%). Buying the singles you want is usually cheaper than opening for them.
How many Special Illustration Rares are in a booster box?
About 1 in 32 packs has a Special Illustration Rare, so a 36-pack box has roughly a 68% chance of at least one.