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Pokémon TCG · MEW

Scarlet & Violet 151 pull rates & booster box value

How often each rarity shows up in a Scarlet & Violet 151 booster pack, measured from 1,500+ packs opened by the TCGplayer Authentication Center, and what that's worth at today's market prices: about $7.78 in hits per pack.

Cards
208
Set value
$1,594.90
Top card
$300.53
Released
September 22, 2023
Hits value per pack
$7.78
Hits value per booster box
$279.98
Chance of an SIR per box
68%

Scarlet & Violet 151 pull rates by rarity

RarityOdds per packCardsAvg. priceValue per packAt least 1 per boxTop card
Double Rare1 in 8(13.28%)13$4.08$0.5499%Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card) · $23.15
Ultra Rare1 in 16(6.44%)16$10.80$0.7091%Charizard ex · $35.74
Illustration Rare1 in 12(8.50%)16$40.00$3.4096%Squirtle · $83.90
Special Illustration Rare1 in 32(3.11%)7$94.50$2.9468%Charizard ex · $300.53
Hyper Rare1 in 52(1.94%)3$10.40$0.2051%Mew ex · $23.65

Pull rates from 1,500+ packs; value = odds × the average TCGplayer market price of that rarity's cards, updated daily. Commons, uncommons, rares and reverse holos are left out, and a real box can land far from the average. TCGplayer pull-rate study

Is opening worth it?

Expected hits value of each sealed product's packs next to its market price. Over 100% means the hits are worth more than the box on average; accessories and promos aren't counted.

Compare booster box value across every set →

Questions

What are the Scarlet & Violet 151 pull rates?
Per booster pack: Double Rare 1 in 8, Ultra Rare 1 in 16, Illustration Rare 1 in 12, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 32, Hyper Rare 1 in 52. These come from more than 1,500 Scarlet & Violet 151 packs opened by the TCGplayer Authentication Center.
How many Special Illustration Rares are in a booster box?
About 1 in 32 packs has a Special Illustration Rare, so a 36-pack box has roughly a 68% chance of at least one.